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If we subtract the latter from the former (PI less TP) the monthly increase drops to 0.2%.
If we adjust for inflation using the PCE Price Index, the increase rises to 0.3%, thanks mostly to lower gasoline prices, which contributed to a disinflationary month-over-month decline in the BEA's PCE Price Index.
This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their method.
There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.
The chart and table below illustrate the performance of the Big Four with an overlay of a simple average of the four since the end of the Great Recession.
The data points show the cumulative percent change from a zero starting point for June 2009.
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Settling, but can business committee dated be a great way to track this information is provided solely for general.They are: The Latest Indicator Data According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income (PI) in August rose 0.3%.